Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.210755 0.244787 0.284419 0.334446 0.396568 0.472060 0.572120
2025-03-02 0.158893 0.201061 0.256213 0.335545 0.450101 0.615227 0.882815
2025-03-09 0.128000 0.171946 0.234399 0.333532 0.495023 0.764427 1.291068
2025-03-16 0.106763 0.149825 0.214929 0.326471 0.526869 0.905983 1.788620
2025-03-23 0.095161 0.138804 0.208560 0.336848 0.590218 1.135145 2.673974
2025-03-30 0.083462 0.125238 0.194829 0.329934 0.617541 1.305772 3.618243
2025-04-06 0.076054 0.117257 0.188697 0.335038 0.671398 1.573822 5.284126
2025-04-13 0.068781 0.108332 0.179128 0.330615 0.701899 1.802955 7.289431
2025-04-20 0.063984 0.102998 0.175161 0.336815 0.761485 2.171692 11.085056
2025-04-27 0.060233 0.098994 0.172989 0.346374 0.834930 2.664065 17.980091
2025-05-04 0.056794 0.095099 0.170348 0.354146 0.907718 3.244113 30.138952
2025-05-11 0.053954 0.091977 0.168766 0.364161 0.993739 4.013153 55.487353
2025-05-18 0.050960 0.088286 0.165587 0.369863 1.071614 4.896664 108.968372
2025-05-25 0.048044 0.084441 0.161548 0.372476 1.141983 5.902430 234.022763
2025-06-01 0.045147 0.080332 0.156332 0.370582 1.195236 6.939768 545.188037
2025-06-08 0.042194 0.075813 0.149569 0.362609 1.219652 7.833925 1319.898019
2025-06-15 0.040676 0.074152 0.149316 0.374553 1.344830 10.199917 12028.339467
2025-06-22 0.038238 0.070295 0.143245 0.366630 1.369370 11.551637 170290.348460
2025-06-29 0.036713 0.068277 0.141463 0.372491 1.472698 14.608065 NaN
2025-07-06 0.034805 0.065250 0.136768 0.367416 1.513530 16.994130 NaN
2025-07-13 0.033593 0.063671 0.135596 0.374533 1.635360 22.137532 NaN
2025-07-20 0.032621 0.062542 0.135459 0.385515 1.795279 30.408283 NaN
2025-07-27 0.031625 0.061273 0.134787 0.394455 1.953947 41.857428 NaN